Nadeem Malik

Monday, February 16, 2009

THE NWFP SITUATION SUMMED UP IN ONE PAGE-A.H AMIN

 
 
 
 
 
THE NWFP INSURGENCY SUMMED UP IN FEW WORDS

A.H AMIN



This is an indigenous movement .

A result of general dissatisfaction based on economy expressed in religious terms.the supply route is long and that itself proves that the movement is indigenous.the army may crack up in next 6 months.

All movements have various elements,indigenous,external, international,this one too has them

The crux is that since troops were hesitant in closing in with the insurgents, so excessive reliance was placed on artillery,tanks and air power.

That in turn created unacceptable collateral damage.

This in turn set up a train of events slow but irresistiblE and irrevocably against the army.

This is a situation of possible impending breakdown which happened in 1917 to russian army and to iranian army in 1917 and Iranian Army in 1979.

The USA should not push the Pakistan Army too much ......that is unless the USA's aim is that the Pakistan Army breaks down and this is a justtification for USA and its allies to reduce Pakistan to size ?

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